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Alternative Visions – Yield Curves & Recession Late 2019

Dr. Rasmus explains the importance of the Yield Curve (currently flattening or inverting) and its role as a predictor of recession in 2019. What causes short term rates to rise while long term rates slow or fall. The Fed’s role in short term rate changes and the global-US economy slowing role in long term rates converging with short term. Why …

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Alternative Visions – China Trade, GM Layoffs, & Trump v. Fed – 11.30.18

Dr. Rasmus speculates on possible outcomes of the Trump-Xi meeting at G20 in Buenos Aires this coming weekend and provides a background history of US-China ‘trade war’ since May 2018; the latest moves of factions within US trade negotiations delegation; and Trump’s failure to get China to the negotiating table. Also, China’s past concession signals and US responses. And the …

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Alternative Visions – US v. China on the Eve of the G20 Buenos Aires Meeting

The NY Times just published the first of a series of articles on China’s economic rise, timed for Trump’s G20 meeting with China president, Xi, next week.  Rasmus comments on the Times article and its focus on an ‘Epochal Contest’ emerging between US and China. While the Times article analysis is mostly anecdotal, Rasmus provides a deeper, historical explanation behind …

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Alternative Visions – Global Economy Slowing & Financial Prices Deflating

  Dr. Rasmus provides a review of economies worldwide that are appearing to slow: Germany GDP contracts -.02%, Eurozone slows to 0.7% overall. Brexit and Italy may worsen. Japan’s GDP retreats -1.2%. China’s officially at 6.5% (actually closer to 5%). How the central banks and monetary systems now subsidize the capitalist economies. And the most recent decline in global oil …

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Alternative Visions – The 2018 Midterm Elections: None Dare Call It Victory

Dr. Rasmus evaluates the results of the 2018 midterm elections last Tuesday and the Democratic Party’s ‘Suburbia Strategy’ which produced less than historic average gains in the House of Representatives and major strategic losses in the Senate. The consequences of the now 54 Republican majority in the Senate are discussed—including Trump’s attacks on Mueller and Dems backing off impeachment. Also …

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Alternative Visions – Liberal Art in the Age of Trump + Reflections on America on the Eve of Election – 11.02.18

As the midterms approach, Dr. Rasmus reflects on indicators of social decline in America that the media (Trump’s & mainstream) ignore: 60,000 opiod deaths, 45,000 suicides, and 33,000 gun killings now occurring every year; daily school shootings; how lies and fear increasingly permeate US life; decline in democracy indicators; escalating violence and inequality; constant wars abroad that never end; technology …

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Alternative Visions – The Global Economy’s Growing Fragility

Dr. Rasmus reviews the current state of the global economy, discussing sectors where it’s slowing and growing financially more fragile. Quotes from JM Morgan, Forbes, Moody’s, Merrill Lynch surveys, IMF, and even other mainstream economists all predict a global recession coming 2020. Rasmus explains why it may be sooner, in late 2019. In Europe, the factors of Brexit, Italy, Euro …

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Alternative Visions – Is a 3rd Independent Progressive Party Now on the Agenda in America? – 10.19.18

Dr. Rasmus invites guests, Nick Brana and Alan Benjamin, to discuss the growing demand for a 3rd, independent political party, now supported by 67% of Americans according to a recent Gallup Poll. Nick Brana is the former national coordinator for the Bernie Sanders 2016 campaign’s liaison to the Democratic Party, formerly the electoral manager for the post-2016 ‘Our Revolution’ movement …

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Alternative Visions – US &Global Stock Markets Plunge—What’s Next?

Today’s show focuses on the past week’s turmoil and decline in US and global stocks (Japan, EME, China, Europe), as Fed rate hikes and the ‘wall of money’ tsunami provided to investors by the Fed and Congress since 2008 now begins to recede. Dr. Rasmus explains why US stock and financial markets accelerated to record levels between 2009-2018 (i.e. Fed …

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Alternative Visions – Global Economic Instability Rising + Trump’s NAFTA 2.o

With the US Fed rate hikes accelerating, and US and global bond selloff accelerating this past week, Dr. Rasmus looks at signs of growing financial instability in the US and abroad. Bond interest rates accelerating and more Fed rate hikes coming. The impact intensifying again on emerging market economies. Stock markets and recessions deepening. Italian bonds and banks (+ Euro, …